Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004084 0.004291 0.004504 0.004739 0.004992 0.005256 0.005552
2025-10-05 0.003740 0.004049 0.004380 0.004761 0.005190 0.005660 0.006217
2025-10-12 0.003552 0.003923 0.004332 0.004818 0.005384 0.006027 0.006818
2025-10-19 0.003359 0.003767 0.004227 0.004786 0.005455 0.006237 0.007231
2025-10-26 0.003204 0.003640 0.004140 0.004762 0.005522 0.006433 0.007624
2025-11-02 0.003067 0.003523 0.004054 0.004727 0.005566 0.006594 0.007975
2025-11-09 0.003007 0.003492 0.004067 0.004807 0.005750 0.006933 0.008566
2025-11-16 0.002896 0.003393 0.003990 0.004769 0.005780 0.007072 0.008896
2025-11-23 0.002810 0.003321 0.003940 0.004762 0.005844 0.007254 0.009291
2025-11-30 0.002704 0.003218 0.003848 0.004692 0.005821 0.007316 0.009518
2025-12-07 0.002612 0.003129 0.003769 0.004636 0.005810 0.007391 0.009764
2025-12-14 0.002548 0.003073 0.003728 0.004628 0.005863 0.007552 0.010141
2025-12-21 0.002430 0.002944 0.003591 0.004487 0.005729 0.007447 0.010121
2025-12-28 0.002384 0.002908 0.003573 0.004505 0.005815 0.007660 0.010591
2026-01-04 0.002355 0.002892 0.003582 0.004558 0.005952 0.007950 0.011197
2026-01-11 0.002296 0.002835 0.003532 0.004529 0.005968 0.008060 0.011525
2026-01-18 0.002244 0.002784 0.003489 0.004506 0.005992 0.008182 0.011878
2026-01-25 0.002190 0.002730 0.003440 0.004473 0.005999 0.008278 0.012190
2026-02-01 0.002178 0.002732 0.003466 0.004548 0.006167 0.008630 0.012957
2026-02-08 0.002128 0.002680 0.003418 0.004513 0.006168 0.008717 0.013274
2026-02-15 0.002090 0.002644 0.003390 0.004506 0.006211 0.008872 0.013717
2026-02-22 0.002035 0.002583 0.003325 0.004442 0.006162 0.008875 0.013886
2026-03-01 0.001986 0.002530 0.003269 0.004389 0.006130 0.008903 0.014100